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Species of Concern Potential SOC No Status

Class / Order / Family

Monocotyledoneae Alismatales Butomaceae Hydrocharitales Hydrocharitaceae Najadales Scheuchzeriaceae Potamogetonaceae Juncales Juncaceae Cyperales Cyperaceae Poaceae Arales Acoraceae Lemnaceae Liliales Liliaceae Iridaceae Orchidales Orchidaceae Dicotyledoneae Apiales Apiaceae Asterales Asteraceae Campanulales Campanulaceae Capparales Brassicaceae Cleomaceae Resedaceae Caryophyllales Amaranthaceae Portulacaceae Caryophyllaceae Celastrales Celastraceae Dipsacales Adoxaceae Dipsacaceae Ericales Ericaceae Euphorbiales Euphorbiaceae Fabales Fabaceae Fagales Betulaceae Fagaceae Gentianales Gentianaceae Asclepiadaceae Geraniales Balsaminaceae Haloragales Haloragaceae Lamiales Boraginaceae Lamiaceae Malvales Malvaceae Myrtales Lythraceae Onagraceae Nepenthales Droseraceae Nymphaeales Cabombaceae Nymphaeaceae Papaverales Papaveraceae Fumariaceae Plantaginales Plantaginaceae Polygonales Polygonaceae Primulales Myrsinaceae Primulaceae Proteales Elaeagnaceae Ranunculales Ranunculaceae Rhamnales Rhamnaceae Rosales Crassulaceae Saxifragaceae Grossulariaceae Rosaceae Salicales Salicaceae Santalales Santalaceae Sapindales Zygophyllaceae Scrophulariales Phrymaceae Oleaceae Scrophulariaceae Orobanchaceae Lentibulariaceae Solanales Convolvulaceae Polemoniaceae Hydrophyllaceae Solanaceae Theales Clusiaceae Violales Tamaricaceae Loasaceae Pinopsida Pinales Pinaceae Filicopsida Filicales Pteridaceae Aspleniaceae Dryopteridaceae Thelypteridaceae Ophioglossopsida Ophioglossales Ophioglossaceae Isoetopsida Selaginellales Selaginellaceae Isoetales Isoetaceae Lycopodiopsida Lycopodiales Lycopodiaceae Bryopsida Bryales Meesiaceae Grimmiales Grimmiaceae Hypnales Amblystegiaceae

Class / Order / Family

Fish Sturgeons / Paddlefish Sturgeons Paddlefishes Gars Gars Goldeyes Mooneyes Minnows / Suckers Minnows Suckers Catfishes Bullheads / Catfishes Salmon / Trout Smelt Trout Pikes / Mudminnow Pikes / Pickerels Trout-Perch Trout-perch Burbots Burbot Killfish / Mollies Killfishes Temperate Basses Temperate Basses Drums Drums Sunfishes Sunfishes Perch / Sticklebacks Sticklebacks Perches Sculpins Sculpins Amphibians Salamanders Mole Salamanders Giant Salamanders Lungless Salamanders Frogs / Toads Tailed Frogs Spadefoots True Toads Chorus Frogs True Frogs Mammals Rabbits / Hares Rabbits Pikas Shrews Shrews Bats Bats Carnivores Wolves / Coyotes / Foxes Cats Skunks Weasels Bears Deer / Sheep / Goats / Bison / Pronghorn Pronghorns Bison / Goat / Sheep Deer / Moose / Elk Rodents Beavers New World Mice / Rats / Voles Jumping Mice Porcupines Pocket Gophers Pocket Mice / Kangaroo Rats Squirrels Reptiles Turtles Softshell Turtles Snapping Turtles Pond Turtles Lizards / Snakes Skinks Alligator Lizards Sagebush / Spiny Lizards Boas Vipers Colubrid Snakes Birds Ducks / Geese Swans / Geese / Ducks Upland Game Birds Upland Game Birds Grebes Grebes Cuckoos Cuckoos Nightjars Nightjars Hummingbirds / Swifts Swifts Hummingbirds Rails Rails Cranes Shorebirds Avocets Plovers Sandpipers Gulls / Terns Loons Loons Pelicans / Herons / Bitterns / Ibises Pelicans Bitterns / Egrets / Herons / Night-Herons Ibises Hawks / Kites / Eagles Hawks / Kites / Eagles Owls Owls Woodpeckers Woodpeckers Falcons Falcons Songbirds Flycatchers Shrikes Vireos Jays / Crows / Magpies Chickadees Creepers Wrens Gnatcatchers Thrushes Thrashers / Mockingbirds / Catbirds Pipits Finches Longspurs and Snow Buntings New World Sparrows Blackbirds Warblers Tanagers / Cardinals / Buntings Insects Sawflies / Wasps / Bees / Ants Bees Beetles (Cerambycidae) (Chrysomelidae) Bark Beetles


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Predicted Suitable Habitat Models

This page provides access to predicted suitable habitat model outputs and associated metadata for animal species resident in Montana for at least a portion of each year and for select plant species, focusing on Species Of Concern in the state.

As more models become available for plant and animal species,
they will appear in the search boxes on the left.
If you have need of a model for a particular species, please contact us.

Model Goals and Inputs

Two approaches are used for modeling predicted suitable habitat for most species; deductive and inductive.

Deductive models are simple, rule-based, associations with streams or ecological systems.  The goal of the deductive models is to spatially represent the ecological systems commonly and occasionally associated with individual species during their primary/breeding season of occupancy (e.g., breeding for resident and summer migrants, winter for winter migrants, and migratory for solely migratory species) across each species' known breeding range in Montana.  The assignments of common and occasionally associated ecological systems, and how those assignments were made, can be seen in a tabular form under the "Ecological Systems Associated with this Species" section of species accounts in the Montana Field Guide.

Inductive models are constructed using Maximum Entropy software (Phillips et al. 2006, Ecological Modeling 190:231-259) in conjunction with a variety of statewide biotic and abiotic layers standardized to 90 x 90-meter raster pixels and presence only data for individual species contributed to Montana Natural Heritage Program databases and filtered to ensure spatial and temporal accuracy and reduce spatial auto-correlation.  The goal of inductive model outputs is to predict the distribution and relative suitability of habitat during the primary season of interest (usually breeding habitat, but overwintering habitat for winter migrants) at large spatial scales.

Model Outputs

Model outputs are in the form of a logistic value that ranges from 0-1 with lower values representing areas predicted to be less suitable habitat and higher values representing areas predicted to be more suitable habitat.  If enough observations were available to train and evaluate the models, the continuous output is reclassified into suitability classes - unsuitable, low suitability, moderate suitability, and high suitability for each 90 x 90-meter pixel.  We then aggregated the classified model output into hexagons at a scale of 259 hectares per hexagon.  We evaluated the output of the Maxent model with two metrics, an absolute validation index (AVI) (Hirzel et al. 2006, Ecological Modelling 199:142-152) and deviance (Phillips and Dudik 2008, Ecography 31: 161-175).  Detailed descriptions of the environmental layers and observations used for modeling, the modeling process, and cutoffs used to designate habitat suitability classes are included with the write-ups for models of individual species.

For plant and animal models, fully evaluated model outputs for both inductive maximum entropy and simple deductive habitat associations are provided in a pdf document.  Inductive maximum entropy model outputs are available in GIS format from Braden Burkholder (see contact information to the left).  Deductive model outputs can easily be constructed using the model write-up in association with the statewide Land Cover layer that can be downloaded via the Montana GIS Data List.

Model Limitations

Models are based on statewide biotic and abiotic variables originally mapped at various spatial scales and standardized to 90 x 90-meter raster pixels.  As a result, model outputs are not appropriate for use at smaller spatial scales.  We recommend using model outputs at the scale of local landscapes using the classified model output aggregated into the 259 hectare hexagons; this is the finest spatial scale suggested for management decisions and survey planning.  Evaluations of predictive accuracy and specific limitations are included with the metadata for models of individual species.  Model outputs should not be used in place of on-the-ground surveys for species.  Instead model outputs should be used in conjunction with habitat evaluations to determine the need for on-the-ground surveys for species.